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Diesel prices expected to decrease while petrol prices rise

Jason Woosey|Published

Diesil prices set for a slight drop, according to the latest data

Image: Tumi Pakkies / Independent Media

The latest data from the Central Energy Fund shows that diesel is set for a slight decrease in the coming month.

This will contrast with petrol prices, which are anticipated to see a slight increase.The expected decrease in diesel prices has been welcomed by energy experts, who believe it is especially crucial for the agriculture sector. 

They add that the decrease could boost productivity on farms.South Africans have enjoyed relatively stable prices for energy this year.

The Mid-month data from the Central Energy Fund is showing that diesel is poised for a price decrease in the region of eight cents for both grades, keeping in mind that the outlook could still change between now and the end of this month is showing a slight under-recovery on petrol prices, which could lead to price increases of around 15 cents for 95 Unleaded and 7 cents for 93 Unleaded if current trends continue.

At the beginning of September, the price of diesel decreased by between 56 cents (500ppm) and 57 cents (50ppm), while petrol went down by four cents

95 Unleaded petrol currently costs R20.76 at the coast and R21.55 in Gauteng, where 93 Unleaded retails at R21.47. The wholesale price of 50ppm diesel is currently listed at R18.71 at the coast and R19.47 in Gauteng.

Lower diesel prices are particularly good news for the economy, says Lebo Ramolahloane, National Vice Chairperson of the South African Petroleum Retailers Association (SAPRA).

“Households and businesses have been under immense strain from months of volatility. This decrease brings real relief. Diesel’s sharp drop is especially positive for transport, agriculture, and logistics -  sectors that carry the economy and directly impact consumer costs,” Ramolahloane said.

September’s fuel price adjustments have effectively brought petrol and diesel prices down to the same level as they were in January 2025.

October’s expected fuel price reductions come mostly as a result of a stronger rand, which is contributing to an over-recovery of around nine cents. The local currency has staged a strong recovery this year, hitting R17.39 to the US dollar on Wednesday, after nearly breaching R20 in April.